Welcome back, fantasy friends. After checking out my series of preseason fantasy football rankings (which you can find below), you’re probably wondering how I came to my conclusions.
Well, you’re in luck as I’ll be showing my work, position by position, to reveal my statistical projections for the 2021 season. While the order of the players listed below is determined by average fantasy points per game in full-PPR scoring, I will give you as much statistical information as possible in order to best use these projections for your league’s specific settings. You can also adjust these projections to your own personal research by using the information below and scaling up or down a player’s workload.
Please note that these projections are based on a 17-game season—all players are projected to play 17 games unless otherwise noted on the far right side of the attached projection sheet. The volume of workload is determined by past trends for coaching staffs currently in place, while production rates are derived from players’ tendencies in recent seasons. It is imperative to first determine a reasonable workload for any player as the foundation of any seasonal projection. Without figuring out how often teams typically pass and throw, one can’t accurately assess a player’s true fantasy value. Rushing and target shares are also massively important because a “lead back” or “WR1” is different on a team-by-team and even quarterback basis.
Tight end is last up in the positional projections. Strategies are all over the place at the position, with some targeting an elite player in rounds one or two and others waiting well into the double-digit rounds to select one. There is no disputing the elite of the elite, but are you willing to pay the price to get one? Do you have a sleeper you love late?
If you have any specific questions or want to know more about what I think of certain players or projections, follow me on Twitter (@JaimeEisner) or Instagram (@JaimeEisnerTDN). I’d be happy to chat with you! Also, be sure to tune in to the TDN Fantasy Podcast for in-depth audio breakdowns of these projections, my rankings, and all of the latest fantasy football news throughout the 2021 football season.