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NFL Draft

Super Bowl 55 Prop Betting Guide

  • The Draft Network
  • February 6, 2021
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Super Bowl Sunday is nearly upon us, and one of the most enjoyable parts of the big day is the plethora of prop bets available to wager on. From in-game stats, to commercials, coin toss results, Gatorade colors, halftime songs, etc., there’s a wager to scratch every bettor’s itch. So let’s get into some.

Please note that these are just a dozen of my favorite bets out of the hundreds available. I also did not include any wagers with odds of -200 or longer—because what’s the fun in that? I believe the best way to utilize this article is to pick and choose bets that you were already leaning toward that match the thought process/logic below or use any of the options as a springboard into further research. Super Bowl props require a whole lot more guessing than the player props we list in this space during the regular season. Have fun, but keep that in mind. 

All odds are courtesy of our friends over at BetOnline.

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GAME/SCORING/STATISTICAL PROPS

First Offensive Play For Buccaneers: Pass: (+110)

While I do expect Tampa Bay to attempt to remain balanced in the first half of this game, they haven’t been afraid to air it out on the opening drive as of late. In the seven games since their bye week, the Buccaneers have thrown on the first play of the game five times. At plus-odds, I’ll take a shot they do it again here.

Combined Penalty Yards: Over 80.5 (-150)

Penalties have been down this postseason, with an average of 61.42 penalty yards per game. The Chiefs and Buccaneers themselves are above that total, averaging 74.83 penalty yards per game. So why wager on over 80.5? Well, these two teams are going to throw a lot. That could easily lead to more holding penalties offensively (especially for a lot of backups on the Kansas City offensive line) and defensively (especially for Tampa Bay’s defensive backs dealing with the Chiefs’ speed). These two teams combined for 139 penalty yards when they met earlier this season and had a combined 98.5 penalty yards per game in the regular season.

Jersey Number of Player to Score First TD: U17.5 (-120)

This is a really fun one. Instead of betting on any individual player to score first, you get to pick your squad. It essentially comes down to this: Do you believe a running back or tight end will score first, or do you think a wide receiver or a quarterback rushing touchdown opens the game? Diving into the numbers, these two teams allowed an average of 1.81 passing touchdowns per game compared to just 0.70 rushing touchdowns per game this season (including playoffs). Given that it’s more than 2.5 times as likely that these teams will give up a passing touchdown, and that there isn’t a premier pass-catching running back in this game, I’ll side with the combination of Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Scotty Miller, Tyreek Hill, Mecole Hardman, Sammy Watkins, or a QB sneak over Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, or a running back.

Will There Be An Onside Kick Attempt: Yes (+190)

I like the odds here too much to ignore this. There have been five onside kick attempts in the 12 postseason games so far after there were 67 attempts in the regular season. While I don’t expect a Sean Payton-esque play call that shocks the world, I also don’t expect either of these teams to be holding back anything late. Either team could find itself up 8-10 points in the fourth, potentially forcing an onside kick in the back-half of the quarter to stay alive. 

Tom Brady Distance of First TD Pass: Under 12.5 yards (-150)

If you haven’t seen this stat yet, it’s wild. Brady’s 18 career Super Bowl touchdown passes have traveled a whopping 133 yards—that’s only 7.39 yards per pass. His Super Bowl box scores are littered with two-, five-, and six-yard passing scores with his longest being a 26-yarder to Chris Hogan against the Philadelphia Eagles. Now, he has a far more talented group of receivers in Tampa Bay than he had for the majority of his time in New England, but I expect the short touchdown legacy to continue into Super Bowl 55. 

Tom Brady Rushing Attempts: Over 1.5 (-110)

Brady has at least two rushing attempts in five of Tampa Bay’s seven games since the bye week, including two of three postseason games—he averaged 1.9 carries per game in the regular season as a whole. Between some potential third-down, fourth-down, and goal-line sneak attempts and the chance he’ll be in victory formation at the end of the game or kneeling to take the game to halftime, I’m going to take a shot here at -110. 

Mecole Hardman Rushing Attempts: Over 0.5 (+120)

Hardman has received a carry in four of the last five games and his speed is a tremendous threat at all times. I expect Andy Reid to get quite creative throughout the game, and finding ways to get the ball in Hardman’s hands in a variety of ways could prove fruitful with the defensive focus locked on to Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill.

Super Bowl MVP: Read Here

Benjamin Solak did a great job breaking down the best bets for MVP, so please give that a read.

NON-FOOTBALL FUN PROPS

National Anthem: Over 1 minute 57 seconds (-110)

Time for some fun nonsense. I have no idea why betting on the length of the national anthem is so fun, but it is. Feverishly looking at your stopwatch and cross-checking it with Twitter’s calculations is a quite enjoyable couple-minute period. In an attempt to put forth some logic here, I anticipate that the duet style of this year’s pre-game ceremony will push the clock past the two-minute mark. The last national anthem duet 15 years ago clocked in at 2:09 and featured both Aretha Franklin and Aaron Neville singing different parts of the song. If that happens here with Jazmine Sullivan and Eric Church, then the extra pauses should help the over. Per Oddsshark, the average national anthem time since Super Bowl 40 is one minute and 55 seconds.

Coin Toss: Tails (-105)

Tails is a popular public bet and it’s hard to argue against it. We know a coin toss isn’t truly 50-50 and weight distribution of the coin plays a role in the probability of it landing on a certain side. But we also know they’ll be using a unique, custom coin—they ain’t just rolling out there at the 50-yard line and flipping a quarter. Still, history tells us that tails wins on Super Bowl Sunday about 53% of the time. Tails better not fail.

Color of Liquid Poured on Winning Coach: Blue (+700)

Shoutout to my friend Alex Kolodziej over at TheScore for this little nugget of info: “Cool Blue is the most popular Gatorade in the United States, according to The Takeout.” So why not go with that at 7/1 odds? Aside from orange—the no-value and most common color in recent Super Bowls—blue has been the winner twice since Super Bowl 49. In fact, the last three colors of liquid dumped on a Brady-winning squad were blue, none, and blue. 

CROSS-SPORT PROPS

What Will Be Higher on Sunday: Patrick Mahomes’ Passing TDs or Alex Ovechkin’s SOG: Ovechkin SOG (-180)

Cross-sport bets are always enjoyable too. Let’s stick with one that will be televised nationally and pit the Washington Capitals’ Alex Ovechkin against Mahomes. As of this writing, Ovechkin is averaging 3.5 shots on goal per game with one-third of his six games played so far featuring five or more shots. The Flyers, Ovechkin’s opponent on Sunday, allow the third-most shots on goal in the NHL. I think Mahomes would need four or more touchdowns to lose money on this bet, something he’s done only three times this season.

What Will Be Higher on Sunday: Ronald Jones’ Carries or Chris Paul’s Assists: Jones’ carries (-150)

The path to double-digits is simply easier for Jones than it is for Paul. Jones has at least 10 carries in each of his last four games and in six of his last seven. He had plenty of success with limited work (7.33 yards per carry on nine carries) against Kansas City in Week 12. I expect him to be around a dozen carries when it’s all said and done. Paul is averaging 8.7 assists per game and 8.6 over his last eight as of this writing. Even his season-high 15 assists aren’t out of reach for Jones.


These are just some of my favorite Super Bowl 55 prop bets. To wager on these and many, many more, head on over to BetOnline.

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