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NFL
NFL

Who Will Lead NFL In Rushing Yards In 2023?

  • Justin Melo
  • June 28, 2023
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Las Vegas Raiders running back Josh Jacobs led the NFL in rushing with 1,653 yards last season. Jacobs was named to his second Pro Bowl as a result while earning First-Team All-Pro honors for the first time. Jacobs is currently attempting to negotiate a long-term extension with the Raiders after being slapped with the franchise tag earlier this offseason.

With training camp on the horizon, it’s time to look ahead to some never-too-early rushing yard leader candidates. Running backs are currently taking a stand against a league that no longer values their services. Jacobs and Saquon Barkley are out to prove their worth with holdouts that could carry over to training camp.  Running the football still matters.

BetOnline’s NFL futures prop betting landscape for the 2023 rushing yard leader has taken shape. Several ball carriers are jockeying for position. The top options shake out as follows:

  • Jonathan Taylor (+750)
  • Nick Chubb (+800)
  • Derrick Henry (+1000)
  • Bijan Robinson (+1400)
  • Josh Jacobs (+1400)
  • Saquon Barkley (+1400)
  • Tony Pollard (+1600)
  • Rhamondre Stevenson (+1800)
  • Breece Hall/Justin Fields (+2000)
  • Miles Sanders/Joe Mixon (+2000)

THE FAVORITE: JONATHAN TAYLOR

Indianapolis Colts running back Jonathan Taylor led the NFL in rushing as a sophomore in 2021 with 1,811 yards. Taylor couldn’t repeat that magic in 2022 as a high-ankle sprain limited him to 11 regular-season appearances. Taylor rushed for a career-low 861 yards as a result.

A healthy Taylor is an excellent bet to lead the NFL in rushing. Whether it’s the inexperienced Anthony Richardson or veteran journeyman Gardner Minshew under center, the Colts will likely field a run-first offense that heavily leans on Taylor’s game-changing abilities. Taylor is capable of repeating his 2021 efforts. We’re simply backing another candidate.

MY PICK: NICK CHUBB

A four-time Pro Bowler and two-time Second-Team All-Pro selection, it’s somewhat shocking that Nick Chubb has never led the NFL in rushing. Chubb has been a model of consistency that’s enjoyed four consecutive 1,000-yard seasons. As a rookie, Chubb fell four yards short (996) of making it five out of five 1,000-yard showings. 

In 2022, Chubb posted a career-high 1,525 yards and 12 touchdowns. Chubb benefits from running behind one of the league’s most effective offensive line units. Quarterback Deshaun Watson should be better in 2023, which will open up more opportunities for Chubb. The Browns are underrated candidates to post a top-five scoring offense. Chubb is a big part of that projection.

DON’T FORGET ABOUT: DERRICK HENRY

Titans superstar running back Derrick Henry led the league in rushing in 2019 (1,540) and 2020 (2,027). An injury-shortened season limited Henry to eight games and 937 yards in 2021. Had he not gotten injured, the former Alabama standout was on pace for a league-leading 1,991 yards. In 2022, Henry finished second in rushing yards (1,538) behind only Jacobs.

That consistency makes even an aging Henry a worthy gamble at +1000. The Titans arguably have the worst group of wide receivers in the league, the potential addition of DeAndre Hopkins notwithstanding. That means they’ll continue to lean on Henry, who should carry enough volume to flirt with a third career rushing title.

Written By

Justin Melo