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Who Will Be First NFL Head Coach Fired In 2023?

  • Justin Melo
  • September 26, 2023
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Several NFL franchises are off to disappointing starts through three contests. Seats are beginning to get warmer as more games are being played and losses pile up. 

At a minimum, one head coach isn’t going to survive the season with his job intact. BetOnline recently updated their odds for the first NFL head coach fired this season. We’ve identified which NFL head coaches are at greatest risk of being relieved of their duties.

  • Josh McDaniels, Las Vegas Raiders (+200)
  • Matt Eberflus, Chicago Bears (+225)
  • Ron Rivera, Washington Commanders (+300)
  • Kevin O’Connell, Minnesota Vikings (+1000)
  • Brandon Staley, Los Angeles Chargers (+1100)
  • Robert Saleh, New York Jets (+1200)
  • Sean Payton, Denver Broncos (+2500)
  • Mike Vrabel, Tennessee Titans (+2800)
  • Dennis Allen, New Orleans Saints (+3300)
  • Mike McCarthy, Dallas Cowboys (+3300)
  • Todd Bowles, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3300)


Raiders head coach Josh McDaniels entered the 2023 campaign on the hot seat after Las Vegas regressed to a six-win finish in 2022. McDaniels convinced the front office that Derek Carr was miscast in his offense. McDaniels got his wish when general manager Dave Ziegler replaced Carr with Jimmy Garoppolo, whom McDaniels previously coached in New England.

McDaniels’ built-in excuse is essentially no more. The Raiders impressively won their Week 1 contest against their AFC West rival Denver Broncos, but have since been blown out by the Buffalo Bills and lost to the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3–with a McDaniels miscue possibly costing them the game. 

McDaniels kicked a confusing field goal in the Raiders’ latest shortcoming. The Raiders possessed the ball inside the Steelers’ 10-yard line staring at a 4th-and-4 with 2:25 remaining in regulation. Trailing 23-15, McDaniels needed a touchdown and the two-point conversion to tie. McDaniels kicked a field goal instead and the Raiders never got the ball back. McDaniels’ seat is becoming increasingly warm.


Chicago is an unserious franchise right now. The Bears, who finished with the worst overall record during the 2022 campaign, were expected to showcase improvement. Through three contests, the Bears appear headed for a second consecutive bottom-of-the-league finish. Bears head coach Matt Eberflus doesn’t appear capable of improving Chicago’s beloved football team. Eberflus’ record now sits at 3-17.

His team looked totally unprepared to play the Super Bowl defending champion Kansas City Chiefs in Week 3. The Bears were trailing 34-0 at halftime. There was also the confusing and controversial dismissal of defensive coordinator Alan Williams. Whatever is happening in Chicago, Eberflus should be the first to fall on the sword.


It was a minor surprise when Chargers head coach Brandon Staley survived the 2022 NFL season. The Chargers, who were once considered Super Bowl favorites, blew a historical lead against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the wild-card round. Despite failing to meet expectations, Staley returned for the 2023 campaign.

The defensive-minded Staley has fielded an atrocious defense so far. Chatter of Staley being fired was already beginning to make its rounds before squeaking out a four-point victory over the winless Minnesota Vikings in Week 3. The Chargers have an intriguing interim candidate on staff, as offensive coordinator Kellen Moore has the Chargers offense firing on all cylinders. If Staley is fired, Moore is a straightforward replacement.

Written By

Justin Melo