"You're an idiot." Yeah, yeah, I know, just get it out the way and let the people have some fun, would ya?
As I prepped to write this mock draft, I went back and re-read some of TDN's old mocks and even a few others around the web, and you know what, they all looked the same.
I'm not about copy-cat mock drafts. You know why? Because the whole point of a mock draft is to try to simulate possibility, to stimulate the imagination and allow fans to think, "hm, if this then that, how would this player look on my team?"
If I've learned anything about the draft after covering it for six years, it's that it's as unpredictable as they come. Teams think one way when they should think another. Teams get overly aggressive in strange spots. And those things always lead to a whacky final board when it's all said and done.
With all that in mind, for this early-January mock draft, let's have some fun. Presenting my first mock draft of 2019, which includes some blockbuster trades.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars (via AZ)
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
Let's. Get. Weird.
You're going to read a million mock drafts between now and April -- hopefully most of which are on the draft network dot com. I've seen too many mocks that look far too similar when we all know the draft is an unpredictable beast. You know some teams are going to shoot their shot and change the course of the entire draft.
In this mock draft, Jacksonville is one of those teams.
I have the Jags moving up from No. 7 to No. 1 overall, likely for a first round pick in 2020 and a few other Top 100 picks thrown in there, to make sure they get the best quarterback this draft class can offer.
There are two types of teams in this league: ones that have a quarterback and ones that don't, and if you don't, you better find yours quick.
2. San Francisco 49ers
Nick Bosa, EDGE, Ohio State
Well, well, well, look who lucked out.
If a quarterback does get taken No. 1 overall, John Lynch might sprint to the podium himself a la Ultimate Warrior.
Or maybe he won't... Maybe he'll light up a cigar the second the 49ers go on the clock with Bosa still in the pool and smoke that bad boy until the clock hits zero before he casually hands the relay man the card.
Either way: Bosa The Niner.
3. New York Giants (via NYJ)
Drew Lock, QB, Missouri
Okay now we're getting spicy.
If Haskins does go No. 1, then that means any other team that might be remotely looking for a quarterback is likely going to start breathing heavily in and out of a brown paper bag. This year's quarterback class is scarce, and if you don't get one of the top three or four guys (and even then), you're holding down the fort for another year.
For the Giants, I could see them being aggressive. They can say Eli is their guy for 2019 all they want, but general manager Dave Gettleman isn't naive. He knows that a rookie's first year with Eli next to him could mean a lot for a young passer's learning curve, even if they don't play in Year 1.
For the Giants to move up just three spots (mainly to jump Oakland), they would likely only have to give up a few Day 2 picks. Perhaps their second, fourth and fifth this year and a second next year -- they have two extra fourth and fifth round picks this year.
4. Philadephia Eagles (via OAK)
Quinnen Williams, iDL, Alabama
And this is the scene of the first act where all hell breaks loose.
What quarterback Nick Foles is doing for the Eagles for the second season in a row is incredible, but they're just not going to give up on Carson Wentz. He is still the guy no matter how far Foles goes -- I think?
Foles will turn 30 years old this month, but as we've seen from around the NFL, early 30s can be where a quarterback really hits his stride -- Foles certainly seems to be. Tell me Jon Gruden wouldn't pull the trigger on this deal to get a veteran, playoff-winning quarterback while also acquiring more draft picks for new GM Mike Mayock.
Foles' contract includes both a team and player opt in/out this offseason. On the Eagles' side, they can choose to sign Foles for $20 million guaranteed for one more year. For Foles, he can choose to pay back $2 million of his signing bonus and be a unrestricted free agent, regardless of the team's desires. Foles will likely do that latter, as it could allow him to sign for more money on the open market. But Eagles' GM Howie Roseman is a heckin' wizard, and perhaps he can convince Foles to signed and get $20 million guaranteed while promising to trade him to a team of interest that would likely sign him to an extension.
Likely? No, but the Eagles will do whatever they can to get something out of Foles. Perhaps this is it.
Anyways, Philly sees their chance to get the best interior defensive lineman in the draft (a need), they make the call, they get Quinnen.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jonah Williams, OT, Alabama
Oh, wow, no trade or outlandish selection? Change the channel. Let's see if Undisputed is on.
Nope, this is just a pick that makes a lot of sense for the team selecting. The Buccaneers need fortification on their offensive line, whether it ends up being a left tackle, right tackle or right guard. Jonah Williams is the best offensive lineman in the draft, and he could fill any of those three positions in Year 1 for the Buccaneers in a crucial year for evaluating their franchise quarterback Jameis Winston.
6. New York Jets (via NYG)
Ed Oliver, iDL, Houston
The Jets get a win-win here.
New York is getting a new coach, and they're looking to acquire as much talent as possible. Because of that, trading down makes sense. But they don't want to trade down too far because they do still want an elite player in this class.
If the quarterback run starts going early, there's a real chance they can end up with Quinnen Williams, Jonah Williams, Ed Oliver or even Josh Allen. I think Oliver gets the nod over Allen, in this case.
7. Arizona Cardinals (via JAX)
Cody Ford, OT, Oklahoma
By moving down from No. 1 to No. 7, Arizona will have picked up a first round pick this year and next year, and like two seconds or a second and a third. That's a good purse for a team that needs a lot of talent.
The Cardinals offensive line was bad this year, and I mean just downright awful. There won't be any time in the pocket for Josh Rosen to even progress with another year like the one I saw. Ford is a name you don't see at the top of mock drafts a lot right now, but as a rare athlete with speed, strength and size, I think you'll see him rise as the draft process rolls on. If Jonah Williams is gone, I'd be comfortable with Arizona taking Ford.
8. Detroit Lions
Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky
If the board falls like this, the Lions will be in a tough spot. They need an edge rusher, but with so many to choose from, they might get overwhelmed.
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When it comes to settling on which edge rusher to choose, I think the Lions will love the size and speed combination of Allen the most. He's a guy who can support the run yet speed bend on the outside.
9. Buffalo Bills
Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State
The theme for the Buffalo Bills this offseason has to be surrounding Josh Allen with the best offense they can come up with. That will start in free agency, but I think their most important piece will come with this pick.
Butler truly was a market share monster for the Iowa State offense down the stretch, and even in their bowl game, their opponent knew the ball was going to go to Butler and yet there was nothing they could do about it. At 6-foot-6, Butler can bring a rare combo of size, speed, red zone reliability and yards-after-catch ability to an offense as an outside wide receiver.
10. Denver Broncos
Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
I go to the NFL Combine every year, and while there I make sure to listen to as many NFL general manager podium interviews as I can -- it gives me perspective as well as answers. When Broncos general manager John Elway was at the podium last year, someone brought up the fact that he isn't afraid to swing and miss when it comes to finding a franchise quarterback. I remember he smiled and said, "And I'm going to keep swinging until I get one."
With another head coach down, Elway's ice is starting to get thin; he has to find that quarterback. If he's going to take a swing at one in this class, especially picking at No. 10, perhaps that's Duke's Daniel Jones. Jones has a lot of fans in NFL circles.
11. Cincinnati Bengals
Devin White, LB, LSU
Finally; finally, Bengals fans, you have been freed of the shackles of imprisonment that came with Marvin Lewis' tenure down the stretch. Can you feel that? That's the feeling of free air. Freedom at las--oh, Lord, they're interviewing Hue Jackson.
The Bengals have quite a few holes on their roster that they could address here, but Devin White really is likely the best option. It's a common pick for the Bengals in mock drafts, and likely will continue to be. But don't get bored of him too quickly. He'd be perfect for Cincinnati.
12. Green Bay Packers
Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State
With Mike McCarthy officially out in Green Bay, it's time for a new era. Whoever captains the Packers' ship on its next sail must address the lack of edge rushing, at some point, whether in free agency or the draft. If that need persists into April, and if a guy like Brian Burns is available, they should look no further.
13. Miami Dolphins
Clelin Ferrell, EDGE, Clemson
With Adam Gase out in Miami, the team could go a few different directions. With their quarterback Ryan Tannehill not exactly looking like the franchise guy either, it makes sense for them to pair a new offensive head coach with a new rookie quarterback. However, with the quarterback scarcity in this class, even if they go offensive minded with their head coach hire, there's no guarantee there would be a quarterback available to pair him with.
If they can't get their hands on a quarterback, they, too, are a team in desperate need of edge rushing consistency. Ferrell is having the most quiet double digit sack season I think I've ever seen. He has the size and all-around game to be a true three-down player.
14. Atlanta Falcons
Raekwon Davis, iDL, Alabama
If the Falcons had lost their game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 17, do you know where they would be picking? (Look away, Falcons fans.) They would be picking No. 8 overall.
But, if the board falls like this, they won't have too much regret. Davis, at 6-foot-7, 300 pounds, is one of the best run stopping interior players in the country, and would likely be a Top 5 player on their board anyways. To get him at No. 14 would be a blessing, but if quarterbacks and edge rushers command most of the Top 10, it could happen.
15. Washington Redskins
D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
Whatever Washington does at quarterback this offseason, they have to get their guy some upgraded weaponry, especially in the aerial attack department. Metcalf's sample size from his one year of real production at Ole Miss is small, but when he was on the field, he showed some rare traits as a potential WR1 at the next level. I think the Redskins need to pull the trigger on Metcalf, if he is there.
16. Carolina Panthers
Deionte Thompson, S, Alabama
Jeez, what a disaster of a season the Panthers had down the stretch. After starting the year 6-2 and looking prime for a playoff position already in October, the Panther went on to drop seven games in a row and finish the year 7-9.
The Panthers did good for themselves by picking up Eric Reid, but he is still more of a support safety than a deep safety. By drafting Thompson, the Panthers will have a nice pairing of safeties to both cover and come up and hit. I think Thompson is one of the top five players in this class, but I've heard the NFL isn't as high on him. That could lead to him being more of a mid-to-late first round pick, one the Panthers will surely enjoy.
17. Cleveland Browns
Greedy Williams, CB, LSU
Now, do I really think the Browns will be this lucky getting Greedy Williams this far down in the draft? No, it's likely not going to happen. However, perhaps the universe uses this pick as the final piece of the karma puzzle for them losing out on LeBron for the second time in one career.
Williams is likely going to be the first cornerback taken in this draft, but I really do think the logic (and somewhat craziness) in the previous picks makes sense for the teams that did the picking, so Greedy happened to fall in this mock.
Greedy and Denzel Ward? The best two man coverage corners in each draft class? You're welcome.
18. Minnesota Vikings
Dalton Risner, OT/iOL, Kansas State
You watched the Vikings down the stretch. You know what the problem was.
It was Kirk Cousins -- wait, what, sorry.
Until the Vikings put together a better offensive line, they will not achieve the talented ceiling the rest of their roster can unlock. Risner can be a good tackle and guard option, as a player who shows versatility with athleticism for a big man. I'm higher on him than most people are, it seems.
19. Tennessee Titans
JJ Arcega-Whiteside, WR, Stanford
I still have faith that Corey Davis will come along to be the kind of dynamic outside WR1 the Titans need, but that doesn't mean they can't help him out with an offensive pick here.
I do think Arcega-Whiteside has some WR1 potential, but I would really love to see this pairing of Davis on one side and Arcega-Whiteside on the other. If both continue to progress towards their talent ceilings, Davis can be the big-play guy while Arcega-Whiteside can be the red zone and third down Mr. Reliable.
20. Pittsburgh Steelers
Jachai Polite, EDGE, Florida
On talent alone, Polite deserves to go much higher than this. However, there will be teams that question what kind of a three-down player he is or how well his body might hold up, and there has even been some whispers that he didn't make as many friends as he should have in Gainesville among the football staff. But here's the thing: at the end of the day, talent will win out. The Steelers need speed help off the edge badly. If they get the best of Polite, this would be a home run for talent and fit.
21. Seattle Seahawks
Nasir Adderley, CB/S, Deleware
It was tough sledding in Dallas for the Seahawks, who, for whatever reason, continued to try to run the ball when it absolutely was not working, and barely made it a game because Russell Wilson is a gift from the football gods that we should all cherish.
On the defensive side, Seattle just is not what it used to be, but drafting a player like Adderley on the back end could be the perfect way to start bringing back the glory days of a feared secondary. Adderley, at 6-foot, 200 pounds, can play both cornerback and safety with aggression and good ball skills.
22. Baltimore Ravens
Kelvin Harmon, WR, N.C. State
I do understand why the Ravens chose to not pass as much as they did down the stretch this season. They were making life as easy as they could for rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson, and that meant allowing him to win where he most comfortably does: running the ball.
But Jackson will need to progress as a passer to stick around in the NFL, and to make things easier on the punishment his body might take, too. For that, he'll need a go-to wide receiver that will be there as long as he is.
That is Kelvin Harmon.
23. Houston Texans
Chris Lindstrom, iOL, Boston College
The Texans, like the Vikings, are in a situation where they just have to get offensive line help anywhere they can. They need help along the entire line, it seems, so they'll have to take their pick of the best offensive lineman available when they get on the clock at No. 23.
For me, in this mock, that is Boston College's interior offensive lineman Chris Lindstrom.
24. Oakland Raiders (via CHI)
Jeffery Simmons, iDL, Mississippi State
In their trade with Philly, I have the Raiders getting Nick Foles and the Eagles' first round pick to send the No. 4 pick away.
With their first of a handful of late-round selections, I have them taking a monster interior defensive lineman in Jeffery Simmons. I know they just picked P.J. Hall and Maurice Hurst last year, but here's the thing: Hall might not be the guy they drafted him that high to be long-term, and who knows what might happen with Hursts' health down the road.
With most of the top edge rushers off the board, I think they'll just take the best defensive lineman left.
25. Oakland Raider (via PHI)
Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
The Raiders stick with defense at No. 25 and select a cornerback who has a chance to go a lot higher than this.
Like when Greedy Williams fell to No. 17 in this mock, Murphy is a talented player who could fit with a number of teams in the Top 15, but if each of them prioritizes defensive line play first, he might wait a bit to hear his name called.
He won't get past Oakland, though. Pairing him with Gareon Conley would be a covetted outside cornerback duo.
26. Indianapolis Colts
Riley Ridley, WR, Georgia
My, oh my. What a story these Indianapolis Colts have become. With one of the least appealing roster in the NFL, the Colts finished the regular season 10-6 after a 1-5 start, and just went into Houston and won a playoff game on the road -- convincingly.
Head coach Frank Reich is proving himself before our very eyes, and though he and quarterback Andrew Luck are making due with the roster they have, adding a polished, talented receiver like Riley Ridley can give this Colts' train even more momentum over the next few years.
27. Oakland Raiders (via DAL)
N'Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State
For their final pick of the first round, I have the Raiders flipping over to the offensive side to give their new quarertback Nick Foles a go-to target.
Harry is a true outside receiver in size, talent and attitude. Even if the Raiders don't make any moves at the quarterback position and stick with Derek Carr, bringing in a player like Harry would be very helpful to their offense.
28. Los Angeles Chargers
Gerald Willis, iDL, Miami
It's being proven before our very eyes that the Chargers have one of the most complete roster in all of football, but that doesn't mean it can't add more, even on a stout defensive line.
Willis had one heck of a season in Miami, and throwing him in the mix with Ingram and Bosa on the edges will give them a complete pass rushing force.
29. New England Patriots
Rashan Gary, EDGE, Michigan
This just feels like a Patriots pick, doesn't it?
Gary is one of the most talented players in this entire draft class, but he's an edge player who can't bend. He has unreal strength and burst in his lower body and some of the strongest hands I've seen this season when it comes to throwing off blocks and executing things like push-pull techniques. But, that being said, how much can I trust an edge guy that can't bend the edge?
I think that makes Gary more of a tweener than people care to admit. Don't get me wrong, he's still talented, and if anyone can get the most of out him, it's New England, I'm sure. But that's why I have Gary lasting this long in the mock.
30. Los Angeles Rams
Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State
Dante Fowler may have been just a rental for the Rams, and even if he wasn't, their edge rushing unit needs an upgrade.
I'm not as high on the 6-foot-5 edge rusher Sweat, but he is still a solid prospect. He can pass rush and run defend, just not at a Top 15 level, I don't think.
31. Kansas City Chiefs
Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia
To quote the Big 12: who needs defense?
Judging by the Kansas City Chiefs' attempt -- and I do mean attempt -- at playing defensive this season, I'd say they're putting that motto to the test in the NFL. Kendall Fuller played most of the season in the slot, and that's why I think if they're going to upgrade their secondary late in the draft, it will be with an outside cornerback.
Baker fits that bill.
32. Green Bay Packers (via NO)
Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
With the final pick in the first round of the 2019 NFL Draft, I have the Packers dipping into a tight end class that is not only deep but talented.
Jimmy Graham just isn't what he used to be, and Noah Fant is one of the most talented players in this class, not just for his position. He would be the best offensive addition Green Bay could ask for at No. 32 with this board the way it is.