We’re back for the fifth week of NFL betting action. Hopefully you joined us on our video show breaking down Week 6’s slate of games as well as our locks of the week.
If you’ve followed along over the last two seasons of the TDN Fantasy Podcast, you know my and Jake Arians’ “Locks of the Week” have paid out. We’re doing them again this season and adding this written component. Let’s dive in, with all odds being supplied by our friends over at BetOnline.
Jaime’s Lock No. 1: Dolphins -9 (-120)
Betting against the Jets on the road when the line is less than 10 points might be a lock going forward. New York is the worst team in football and now has one less offensive piece to work with after the release of Le’Veon Bell. Joe Flacco has Jamison Crowder and... and… yeah. The Jets are bad on offense, bad on defense, and are poorly coached. Other than that, everything is swell. The Dolphins have all their playmakers on offense healthy, Ryan Fitzpatrick is playing with a lot of confidence after last week, and the defense has done enough against non-elite offenses to show they can more than hang against what’s left of this Jets offense. I know it’s a divisional game, but the Dolphins are at least two touchdowns better than the team New York is sending out in Miami.
Jaime’s Lock No. 2: Rams -3.5 (-105)
This Sunday Night Football matchup between these two NFC West rivals features two teams heading in opposite directions. The Rams are healthy, on a two-game winning streak, have a 4-1 record, and have been sensational on the road this season, averaging 33 points per game. The 49ers are banged up, on a two-game losing streak, have a 2-3 record, and have lost all three of their home games this season, averaging just 19 points per game. San Francisco’s only wins are against arguably the two worst teams in football, the New York Jets and New York Giants.
Simply put, the Rams have the firepower the 49ers don’t. It’s hard to imagine this version of the 49ers defense slowing the Rams down too much. The Rams should cross the 30-point plateau again and San Francisco won’t be able to keep up, regardless of whether or not Jimmy Garoppolo starts this game.
Jaime’s Lock No. 3: 6.5-point Teaser (+146) — MIA (-3), LAR (+3), TEN (+3.5)
Let’s have a little fun with this lock. We’ll include the two picks above, albeit with far more favorable numbers, and add in the Titans so we can get plus-odds. The Titans are coming off a short week after playing on Tuesday night, but they were well-rested coming into that game—as the broadcast was sure to tell you approximately 367 times—so I’m not too worried. While Tennessee still has defensive issues they must clear up—and health issues on that side of the ball—I’m not buying what we saw from the Texans offense in Week 5. Deshaun Watson did not look good in the first half, and although he figured it out coming out of the locker room, this Titans team will be a much different challenge on the road than playing the Jaguars defense at home. The Titans are clicking offensively and I can’t see Houston’s defense standing in their way too often. Tennessee gets the win in my book, but you get the added bonus of winning even if the Titans lose by up to three points.
Eisner’s Locks 2020: 6-4-3 (60%)
Eisner ATS 2020: 47-28-2 (63%)
Eisner’s Locks 2019: 16-11-0 (59%)
Eisner’s Locks 2018: 25-13-2 (66%)
Jake’s Lock No. 1: Titans -3 (-120)
Arians’ Locks 2020: 5-4-2 (56%)
Arians ATS 2020: 45-30-2 (60%)
Arians’ Locks 2018: 16-14-1 (53%)
To wager on these games and more, head over to BetOnline.