Fantasy Football: TDN's QB Rankings

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Some quick background on how these rankings were determined. I put about 40 hours worth of research into these rankings. I started by coming up with my own custom stat projections for the season. That process began by taking projections from seven different outlets and weighing each one based on past accuracy. That gave me one set of projections as a baseline to work with. From there I adjusted the order based on upside, injury risk, situation, and any other relevant factors. Finally, I placed each QB into one of seven tiers.

All of my rankings reflect the order in which I would take players if my draft was today in a standard 12-team half-point PPR league.

These rankings will be updated weekly throughout the offseason so be sure to check back in with The Draft Network often to gain an edge on your leaguemates.

If you have any specific questions or want to know more about what I think of certain players, hit me up on Twitter (@JaimeEisner) or Instagram (@JEisnerFFB). I’d be happy to chat with you!

You can find rankings from Paige Dimakos and Jake Arians below Jaime Eisner's rankings.

Click here for specific positional rankings: RB | WR | TE | K | DST | Top 200


***Jaime Eisner's Rankings -- Updated August 20***


TIER 1


1. Patrick Mahomes 

2. Aaron Rodgers 

-- Luck is officially way out of this tier now -- only two remain at the top. If we get 16 healthy games of Rodgers I believe he'll finish as the No. 1 QB. Deshaun Watson is in that conversation as well. Otherwise Mahomes has a shot to repeat as the top QB, but it won't be easy. It almost never happens and I predicted on our bold predictions podcast that he'll lead the league in interceptions. His touchdown rate will regress too. However, there are enough red flags with all the other top QBs that make me think it is still possible for him to have all of the above to come true and still finish as the QB1, albeit with a much lower point total than 2018.


TIER 2


3. Deshaun Watson 

4. Matt Ryan 

-- I'm probably being a little too cautious here with Watson. If all his pass-catching options weren't dealing with various ailments right now he'd be in Tier 1. He's got true No. 1 overall QB upside. As for Ryan, let's hope his full stable of weapons stay healthy and Dirk Koetter has him slinging the ball all over the field again. I'm willing to bet the every-other-year success trend stops here.


TIER 3


5. Jameis Winston 

6. Baker Mayfield 

7. Andrew Luck 📉

8. Cam Newton  

9. Russell Wilson

10. Drew Brees

11. Jared Goff 

12. Carson Wentz 

13. Ben Roethlisberger 

-- I'm waiting awhile to grab my QB in single-QB formats once the top four are off the board. I'd be content with anyone here. Luck falls down from No. 3 to No. 7 as the injury news about his left leg doesn't seem to be very positive. Him playing Week 1 is a huge question mark, but at least it's not the shoulder.


TIER 4


14. Mitchell Trubisky 

15. Kirk Cousins 

16. Philip Rivers 

17. Dak Prescott 

18. Kyler Murray

19. Lamar Jackson 

-- Murray stays put at No. 18 despite his disastrous preseason performance against the Raiders. There are going to be plenty of issues to work out in Arizona this season. Murray will struggle at times -- that's to be expected. Maybe this'll scare off the lunatics that were taking him as the third QB off the board. I also added Jackson into this tier. I still don't want him as my QB1 and I didn't change his rank, but his high floor deserves a little more love from me.


TIER 5


20. Josh Allen

21. Tom Brady

22. Jimmy Garoppolo 

-- No changes here. Brady gets Josh Gordon back (for now, at least), so that'll help. Jimmy G looks terrible whenever he steps on a field right now, but I can't reasonably drop him into the next tier. I've never said Garoppolo is bad, just that we don't know that he's good. That still applies.


TIER 6


23. Derek Carr 

24. Matthew Stafford 

25. Andy Dalton

26. Ryan Fitzpatrick

27. Sam Darnold 

28. Nick Foles 

-- No changes here. If you're still reading this, let me know on Twitter if you believe 2-QB/SuperFlex leagues should become the standard format.


TIER 7


29. Eli Manning 

30. Joe Flacco 

31. Marcus Mariota 

32. Case Keenum

-- Just move right along to Paige and Jake's rankings below.

***


***Paige Dimakos' Rankings -- Updated August 2***

1. Patrick Mahomes

2. Andrew Luck

3. Aaron Rodgers

4. Deshaun Watson

5. Matt Ryan

6. Carson Wentz

7. Drew Brees

8. Russell Wilson

9. Baker Mayfield

10. Jared Goff

11. Cam Newton

12. Ben Roethlisberger

13. Jameis Winston

14. Philip Rivers

15. Mitch Trubisky

16. Dak Prescott

17. Josh Allen

18. Kyler Murray

19. Kirk Cousins

20. Tom Brady

21. Lamar Jackson

22. Jimmy Garoppolo

23. Andy Dalton

24. Matthew Stafford

25. Derek Carr

26. Nick Foles

27. Sam Darnold

28. Ryan Fitzpatrick

29. Marcus Mariota

30. Joe Flacco

31. Eli Manning

32. Case Keenum

***

***Jake Arians' Rankings -- Updated August 2***

1. Patrick Mahomes

2. Aaron Rodgers

3. Andrew Luck

4. Carson Wentz

5. Russell Wilson

6. Deshaun Watson

7. Jameis Winston

8. Matt Ryan

9. Ben Roethlisberger

10. Jared Goff

11. Baker Mayfield

12. Philip Rivers

13. Kirk Cousins

14. Tom Brady

15. Cam Newton

Written By:

TDN Fantasy

Fantasy Contributors

TDN Fantasy provides the most relevant and useful Fantasy Football analysis and NFL betting advice. Hosts Paige Dimakos, Jake Arians, and Jaime Eisner bring years of experience in the fantasy football, sports gambling, and football analysis industries to their weekly podcasts and rankings for your fantasy team.

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