Applying Bill Parcells' Rules For Drafting A QB To 2018 Class

The first round of the 2018 NFL Draft promises to feature anywhere from four to six quarterbacks selected among the first 32 picks.

Hall of Fame head coach Bill Parcells is a renown talent evaluator and adopted a list of seven criteria that he used when considering quarterbacks in the NFL draft. That criteria is as follows:

  1. Be a three-year starter
  2. Be a senior in college
  3. Graduate from college
  4. Start 30 games
  5. Win 23 games
  6. Post a 2:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio
  7. Compete at least 60-percent of passes thrown

While none of the criteria takes into account traits identifiable on film, the central theme behind Parcells' rules is to narrow the field of quarterbacks down to those who are accurate, make good decisions, are mentally tough and finish what they start.

Let's examine the top quarterback prospects in 2018 to see how the measure up.

Josh Alen, Wyoming

  • 3 years as starter? No - 2
  • Is he a senior? Yes, will have degree
  • Did he graduate? Yes
  • Did he start 30 games? No - 25
  • Did he win 23 games? No - 16
  • TD:INT ratio at least 2:1? Yes - 44:21
  • Completion percentage over 60?  No - 56.2%

3/7 criteria met

Sam Darnold, USC

  • 3 years as starter? No - 2
  • Is he a senior? No
  • Did he graduate? No
  • Did he start 30 games? No - 24
  • Did he win 23 games? No - 20
  • TD:INT ratio at least 2:1? Yes - 57:21
  • Completion percentage over 60?  Yes - 64.9%

2/7 criteria met

Lamar Jackson, Louisville

  • 3 years as starter? Yes - 3
  • Is he a senior? No
  • Did he graduate? No
  • Did he start 30 games? Yes - 34
  • Did he win 23 games? Yes - 24
  • TD:INT ratio at least 2:1? Yes - 69:27
  • Completion percentage over 60?  No - 57%

4/7 criteria met

Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma

  • 3 years as starter? Yes - 3+
  • Is he a senior? Yes
  • Did he graduate? Yes
  • Did he start 30 games? Yes - 47
  • Did he win 23 games? Yes - 39
  • TD:INT ratio at least 2:1? Yes - 131:30
  • Completion percentage over 60?  Yes - 68.5%

7/7 criteria met

Josh Rosen, UCLA

  • 3 years as starter? No - 2 and parts of a third
  • Is he a senior? No
  • Did he graduate? No
  • Did he start 30 games? Yes - 30
  • Did he win 23 games? No - 17
  • TD:INT ratio at least 2:1? Yes - 59:26
  • Completion percentage over 60?  Yes - 60.8%

3/7 criteria met

Mason Rudolph, Oklahoma State

  • 3 years as starter? Yes - 3
  • Is he a senior? Yes
  • Did he graduate? Yes
  • Did he start 30 games? Yes - 41
  • Did he win 23 games? Yes - 32
  • TD:INT ratio at least 2:1? Yes - 92:26
  • Completion percentage over 60?  Yes - 63.2%

7/7 criteria met

Final Tally

  • 7/7 - Mayfield, Rudolph
  • 4/7 - Jackson
  • 3/7 - Allen, Rosen
  • 2/7 - Darnold

Not meeting all seven of Parcells' criteria isn't a kiss of death for quarterback prospects but it's worth noting that if Parcells was drafting a quarterback this year, by his own rules, the candidates would be reduced to Mayfield and Rudolph.

Written By:

Joe Marino

Senior NFL Draft Analyst

Director of Administration & Senior NFL Draft Analyst for The Draft Network. Co-host of the Draft Dudes podcast. Member of the FWAA.

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