Contextualized Quarterbacking is a charting method that helps break down what to expect from the Draft-eligible quarterbacks. By tracking things like ball placement, depth of target, progressions, and throws into tight windows, the CQ can answer questions about which systems helps certain quarterbacks in certain ways.
Next up, Buffalo's Tyree Jackson.
Teams will have the strengths and weaknesses of these players in mind over the course of Senior Bowl week, and we will too, as we put them under the microscope to see if they have what it takes to improve on their deficiencies.
Biggest Strength: The HOOOOOSE!
Tyree Jackson has the best arm in this class, which is weird, because you have heard about Drew Lock's arm two billion times. Jackson's strength in his arm isn't necessarily velocity -- he doesn't throw many heaters to the intermediate levels of the field, and sometimes the ball pikes down on him. Rather, what makes it special is the natural length on it: Jackson can flick the ball 40+ yards down the field, and when he sets to deliver, it's 60+ yards easy.
Jackson's placement downfield can be hit or miss, because he sails a lot of balls in an effort to make plays he has no business attempting. If you can whittle out the poor decisions, you're gonna see his downfield numbers balloon -- but already, the yardage output is tremendous.
Take a look at that target distribution and yardage distribution in the deep areas. That's hugely important:
Jackson really isn't throwing the ball downfield to a ridiculous degree; but when he throws it back there, it churns out unbelievable yardage. That indicates that Jackson is regularly maximizing YAC by hitting his WRs in stride downfield. 20+ yards, to the middle area? That's tremendous production.
742 yards is 45% of his total yardage output throwing the football -- that's all from throws 20+ yards down the field.
What you'll notice, however, is the weakness as well.
Biggest Weakness: Intermediate placement
It is irregular to see such a significant different in placement for the 10-19 area as compared to the 20+ area. The accuracy measures themselves are also relatively close, which again emphasizes the point: Jackson might be good uncorking it when he knows he has space downfield, but when there are closing safeties and sinking linebackers...things get dicey.
Those concerns illustrate the tight window question marks, which are the biggest concern for Jackson:
Jackson's likelihood of throwing a throwing a pick is almost 15 times greater when he's attacking tight windows: his ball placement is more general than specific, and he puts too many 50/50 balls in the air. Across the middle of the field, his tape illustrates too much trust in his ball velocity, and he jams balls into windows they don't belong in.
Jackson either needs to show some improved flexibility in his frame to increase his ball velocity, or start throwing with improved anticipation.
Goal for Mobile: Make a Statement
Tyree is going to get noticed because of his magnificent arm and size. That's a given. That's going to happen.
But what happens next? Do his accuracy inconsistencies stand out stark against Drew Lock and Daniel Jones, two of the strong arm, big-bodied project types in the class? Or can he hold par with them, and force teams to reconsider who they may like as a Late Day 2 prospect worthy of investment and a potential Year 2/Year 3 run at the starter job.
Jackson is the most likely of the eight quarterbacks to really shake up the class, as he has the tools to challenge for a much earlier draft slot. I think he emerges from this week as a dark-horse candidate to go high, if a team buys into his natural ability and splash plays.