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NFL Draft

2021 NFL Draft Scouting Report: QB Trey Lance

  • The Draft Network
  • December 20, 2020
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Trey Lance is a quarterback who has aligned in the pistol, the gun, and has shown the ability to run the offense from under center. He plays the position with good athleticism, as evidenced by his ability to get out of the pocket and extend plays with his legs. Even within the pocket, his mobility and footwork seemed to have developed. Because he is a threat to move the chains with his legs, he needs to be accounted for in the zone-read game. As a passer, he seems to be able to generate velocity on his throws, which is critical for playing in the elements. He has also shown some touch and accuracy down the field on his deep throws. He needs to continue to develop the subtle nuances of the position to continue to maximize his natural talent as a passer.

Ideal Role: Eventual NFL starting QB.

Scheme Fit: A scheme uniquely designed to accentuate his ability as a passer as well as a runner. 


Games watched: Youngstown (2019), UNI (2019), SDSU (2019), UC Davis (2019), Butler (2019), Central Arkansas (2020)

Best Game Studied: Youngstown (2019)

Worst Game Studied: SDSU (2019)

Accuracy: His accuracy has been good but somewhat inconsistent, even with a clean pocket. He flashes moments of excellent throws (5 route vs. UNI, 8 route vs. Youngstown), but has also had some glaring misses. Cleaning up his footwork and mechanics from the ground up should serve him well.  He did complete 66.7% of his passes in 2019. However, he missed a wide-open 9 route in the Central Arkansas game (2020).

Decision Making: Over the course of the games he played in 2019, he set the NCAA record for most attempts (287) without an interception. While there were certainly opportunities for interceptions, he's generally done an excellent job of taking care of the football.

Poise: He has demonstrated excellent poise. When the pocket collapses, he never appears to panic with pressure. He has also responded well to adversity over the course of the game, which was evident in his lone game in 2020. 

Progressions: The NDSU offense had moments in the past where it felt like there were only half-field reads for Lance. Whether that's because of limitations within the offense, or his propensity to lock onto primary options at receiver, or simply the success rate that his primary option wins against coverage, it is still something to note.

Release: He has a compact, quick release. He has very good functional strength, which allows him to generate plenty of velocity through his throws. He will still miss high on occasion, but his release has seemingly improved.

Pocket Manipulation: He has made obvious strides from 2019 to 2020 in the area of pocket manipulation. You see him subtly evade pressure and climb the pocket to deliver a downfield throw. Also, he has grown in his ability to hold a safety with his eyes and get back to his primary. 

Arm Strength: His arm strength is excellent. The development has been in his ability to take something off his fastball and throw with touch. He throws a catchable football but has proven that he can throw the 5 route from the opposite hash (2019 UNI game).

Mobility: His mobility in and out of the pocket is one of his strengths. He can buy himself time within the pocket with his footwork. He has also shown the ability to extend plays with his legs when the pocket collapses. He is a legitimate threat to the defense as a runner. 

Leadership: His leadership has been excellent. In the Central Arkansas game (2020), his ability to rally his team and respond to adversity was infectious. He injected life into that team that got off to a slow start

Mechanics: His mechanics seem to have somewhat grown in the Central Arkansas game (2020). I did observe some of those missing-high throws that were present in 2019. However, it appears his footwork has become cleaner. The consistency in this area will be key to taking another step and not having so many balls sail high on him.


TDN Consensus: 83.63/100

Joe Marino: 82.50/100

Kyle Crabbs: 82.00/100

Jordan Reid: 84.00/100

Drae Harris: 87.00/100

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